ESTOFEX Severe Weather Forecast 08/29/2010 - Update

Forecast Update
Valid: Sun 29 Aug 2010 14:00 to Mon 30 Aug 2010 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 29 Aug 2010 15:04
Forecaster: VAN DER VELDE
A level 1 was issued for Benelux and NW Germany mainly for severe convective wind gusts and a chance of tornadoes and locally excessive convective precipitation.

SYNOPSIS / DISCUSSION

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FPUS54 KOHX NWS evening forecast for Sumner/TN (incl. the city of Gallatin)

Expires:201405050900;;532093 FPUS54 KOHX 042259 AAA ZFPOHX MIDDLE TENNESSEE ZONE FORECASTS...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 559 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2014 TNZ008-050900- SUMNER- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GALLATIN 559 PM CDT SUN MAY 4 2014 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. .FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF S...
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ESTOFEX Severe Weather Forecast 29/12/2014 0600UTC

Bild
Storm Forecast Valid: Mon 29 Dec 2014 06:00 to Tue 30 Dec 2014 06:00 UTC Issued: Sun 28 Dec 2014 22:08 Forecaster: SCHLENCZEK An upper longwave trough resides over eastern / central Europe and the western / central Mediterranean. In the vicinity of its upper cold core, some low-end instability is created which leads to showers and thunderstorms over the still approx. 17°C warm Mediterranean Sea. As the water vapor mixing ratio is only in a range of 4-5 g/kg, even augmented deep layer shear will not favor organized severe storms. It is likely that most of the storms will not reach the coastal areas and stay over the sea.
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